This fireball was with a high degree of certainty the re-entry of a Russian Soyuz 3rd stage, #39083 (2013-007B), the 3rd stage from the Soyuz that launched the Progress cargoship Progress-M 18M towards the ISS on February 11th.
USSTRATCOM issued a TIP message indicating decay at 21:15 +/- 1 m UTC near 49N, 13 E.
Below is a quick map (made using Orbitron) of the trajectory and approximate position of the re-entry.
click map to enlarge
Time, general description and reentry data all fit quite well.
We've got radio spectrum images of the reentry. The Soyuz-U reentered at 80-100km in north Czech Republic.
ReplyDeletesome radio images (horizontal axis is frequency vertical is time increasing from bottom to up):
http://www.astrozor.cz/graphics/upload/reports/110-02.14.13-21_26_29.png
more images at http://astrozor.cz/